The objective of the study is to investigate the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on conventional crime and organized crime in Mexico City, Mexico. Researchers use an event study for the intertemproal variation across the 16 districts (municipalities) in Mexico City for 2019 and 2020, utilizing reported crime data from the Mexico City’s Attorney General’s Office (covering domestic violence, burglary, robbery, vehicle-theft, assault-battery, homicides, kidnapping, and extortion). They find a sharp decrease on crimes related to domestic violence, burglary, and vehicle theft; a decrease during some weeks on crimes related to assaultbattery and extortion, and no effects on crimes related to robbery, kidnapping, and homicides. While our results show a decline in conventional crime during the COVID-19 pandemic, organized crime remains steady. These findings have policy implications for catastrophic events around the world, as well as possible national security issues in Mexico.

Country:
Program Area:
Study Type:
Descriptive / Surveillance
Timeline:
January-May 2019, January-May 2020
Implemented by IPA:
No
Impact Goals:
Promote peace and safety, and improve humanitarian response
Outcomes of Interest:
Instances of crime in Mexico City
External Website:
Results Status:
Results
Results:
Researchers find a sharp decrease on crimes related to domestic violence, burglary, and vehicle theft; a decrease during some weeks on crimes related to assaultbattery and extortion, and no effects on crimes related to robbery, kidnapping, and homicides. While our results show a decline in conventional crime during the COVID-19 pandemic, organized crime remains steady. These findings have policy implications for catastrophic events around the world, as well as possible national security issues in Mexico.
Key Findings:
Researchers find a sharp decrease on crimes related to domestic violence, burglary, and vehicle theft; a decrease during some weeks on crimes related to assaultbattery and extortion, and no effects on crimes related to robbery, kidnapping, and homicides. While our results show a decline in conventional crime during the COVID-19 pandemic, organized crime remains steady.